Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000212 0.000237 0.000264 0.000295 0.000330 0.000367 0.000410
2025-06-01 0.000172 0.000205 0.000243 0.000289 0.000344 0.000406 0.000483
2025-06-08 0.000145 0.000183 0.000228 0.000287 0.000359 0.000446 0.000559
2025-06-15 0.000126 0.000167 0.000218 0.000286 0.000376 0.000489 0.000641
2025-06-22 0.000110 0.000152 0.000207 0.000284 0.000388 0.000525 0.000718
2025-06-29 0.000099 0.000143 0.000202 0.000288 0.000409 0.000573 0.000813
2025-07-06 0.000090 0.000134 0.000196 0.000289 0.000425 0.000616 0.000904
2025-07-13 0.000080 0.000124 0.000188 0.000287 0.000435 0.000650 0.000984
2025-07-20 0.000075 0.000120 0.000187 0.000294 0.000460 0.000706 0.001100
2025-07-27 0.000069 0.000114 0.000183 0.000296 0.000476 0.000751 0.001201
2025-08-03 0.000064 0.000109 0.000179 0.000297 0.000490 0.000792 0.001298
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000102 0.000172 0.000294 0.000497 0.000823 0.001382
2025-08-17 0.000055 0.000098 0.000170 0.000297 0.000515 0.000873 0.001503
2025-08-24 0.000050 0.000092 0.000164 0.000294 0.000522 0.000907 0.001600
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000087 0.000159 0.000293 0.000533 0.000947 0.001710
2025-09-07 0.000043 0.000083 0.000156 0.000293 0.000547 0.000994 0.001834
2025-09-14 0.000040 0.000079 0.000151 0.000291 0.000555 0.001030 0.001942
2025-09-21 0.000038 0.000077 0.000150 0.000296 0.000576 0.001091 0.002099
2025-09-28 0.000035 0.000074 0.000148 0.000297 0.000592 0.001142 0.002241
2025-10-05 0.000033 0.000070 0.000143 0.000295 0.000599 0.001178 0.002357
2025-10-12 0.000032 0.000069 0.000144 0.000303 0.000627 0.001255 0.002557
2025-10-19 0.000030 0.000067 0.000142 0.000305 0.000643 0.001312 0.002722
2025-10-26 0.000028 0.000064 0.000140 0.000305 0.000657 0.001362 0.002876